[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 2
Created by Cato on 2019-07-29; known on 2019-09-29; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-29.
- Cato estimated 23% on 2019-07-29
- Cato said “https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination” on 2019-07-29
- Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2019-07-30
- pranomostro estimated 4% on 2019-08-03
- pranomostro estimated 9% on 2019-08-03
- Cato estimated 1% on 2019-08-26
- Cato estimated 2% on 2019-09-02
- jamesrom estimated 0% and said “There are currently 6 candidates priced (for ‘yes’) above $0.05, the odds of 4 dropping below that in 13 days is extremely low.” on 2019-09-16
- Cato estimated 0% and said “Clarification: “above” means “strictly greater than”” on 2019-09-18
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2019-09-29.