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[Politics] At least one Democrat to withdraw/suspend candidacy by August 2019 EOM

Created by Cato on 2019-07-30; known on 2019-08-31; judged right by Cato on 2019-08-16.

  • Cato estimated 67% on 2019-07-30
  • Cato said “To clarify: I’m counting only those who participate in the July debates.” on 2019-07-31
  • pranomostro estimated 60% on 2019-08-03
  • Cato said “Tim Ryan says it’s a temporary suspension to deal with the Ohio shooting. If he isn’t back by the deadline this will be marked true.” on 2019-08-06
  • Cato estimated 98% on 2019-08-15
  • Cato said “Hickenlooper” on 2019-08-16
  • Cato   judged this prediction right on 2019-08-16.