Collision between Chinese and Taiwanese naval vessels or military aircraft by 2020-07-31

Created by Cato on 2019-08-01; known on 2020-08-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-09-15.

• Cato estimated 7% on 2019-08-01
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-08-03
• stepan estimated 5% on 2019-09-10
• Cato estimated 6% on 2019-10-11
• Cato estimated 5% on 2019-11-20
• Cato estimated 4% on 2019-12-06
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-09-15.