[Politics] Martial law to be declared in at least part of Hong Kong by October 2019 EOM

Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known on 2019-11-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-04.

  • Cato estimated 28% on 2019-08-02
  • pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-08-03
  • Cato estimated 36% on 2019-08-05
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 20% on 2019-08-06
  • Cato estimated 42% on 2019-08-13
  • predoindk estimated 35% on 2019-08-23
  • Cato estimated 34% on 2019-08-26
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 8% on 2019-09-04
  • stepan estimated 5% on 2019-09-10
  • Cato estimated 22% on 2019-09-11
  • Cato estimated 19% on 2019-09-20
  • Cato estimated 17% on 2019-10-09
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-11-04.

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