[Politics] Martial law to be declared in at least part of Hong Kong by October 2019 EOM

Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known on 2019-11-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-04.

• Cato estimated 28% on 2019-08-02
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-08-03
• Cato estimated 36% on 2019-08-05
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2019-08-06
• Cato estimated 42% on 2019-08-13
• predoindk estimated 35% on 2019-08-23
• Cato estimated 34% on 2019-08-26
• PseudonymousUser estimated 8% on 2019-09-04
• stepan estimated 5% on 2019-09-10
• Cato estimated 22% on 2019-09-11
• Cato estimated 19% on 2019-09-20
• Cato estimated 17% on 2019-10-09
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-11-04.