Jeffrey Epstein was murdered and there is good evidence (e.g. footage or accepted confession or arrest warrant or conviction) that this was the case, before 2022

Created by bobpage on 2019-08-12; known on 2022-01-01

• bobpage estimated 2% on 2019-08-12
• bobpage said “those e.g. are non-exhaustive, meant to exclude ungrounded conspiracy theorist epistemology” on 2019-08-12
• bobpage said “https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/08/jeffrey-epstein-part-larger-suicide-problem/595918/” on 2019-08-12
• pranomostro estimated 3% on 2019-08-12
• pranomostro said “~30% for him being murdered.” on 2019-08-12
• HonoreDB estimated 8% on 2019-08-12
• jbeshir estimated 3% on 2019-08-15
• stepan estimated 1% on 2019-09-10
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2019-09-10
• credunkist estimated 8% on 2019-09-17
• Athrithalix estimated 5% on 2019-11-25
• galen estimated 5% on 2019-11-26
• stepan estimated 5% on 2020-02-24
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2020-05-27
• jamesrom estimated 0% and said “P(murder) * P(cover up) * P(leaking/confession before 2022) ≈ 0” 8 days ago
• Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 1% about 22 hours ago

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction