There will be more than 5 Metaculus domains on 14 Jan 2020

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-08-14; known 12 days ago; judged wrong by pranomostro about 19 hours ago.

  • wolfish_wrath estimated 70% on 2019-08-14
  • pranomostro estimated 75% and said “I know of two: and 2019-08-16
  • Morpheus estimated 75% on 2019-08-21
  • stepan estimated 60% on 2019-09-10
  • wolfish_wrath said “As far as I know this was wrong. If anyone does know of Metaculus domains other than AI and Finance, please let me know.12 days ago
  • pranomostro said “I also don’t know of any others. I’ll judge “wrong”.about 19 hours ago
  • pranomostro   judged this prediction wrong about 19 hours ago.

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