[Hong Kong's 2020 Tiananmen Square Incident commemoration vigil] to be canceled/banned

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-06-05; judged right by Cato on 2020-06-05.

• Cato estimated 5% on 2019-09-18
• pranomostro estimated 8% on 2019-09-22
• Cato estimated 10% on 2019-11-20
• Cato estimated 9% on 2019-12-06
• Cato estimated 8% on 2020-02-29
• Cato said “Poor wording in retrospect. The vigil was banned, but it was held anyway. Nevertheless, my original intent was to predict that it would be officially disallowed. Therefore, I’m judging this as true.” on 2020-06-05
• Cato   judged this prediction right on 2020-06-05.