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[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Kamala Harris

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-04; judged wrong by Pablo on 2020-02-05.

  • Cato estimated 5% on 2019-09-18
  • pranomostro estimated 2% on 2019-09-24
  • Cato estimated 15% on 2019-10-14
  • Cato estimated 5% on 2019-10-23
  • Cato estimated 4% on 2019-11-08
  • Cato estimated 1% on 2019-11-22
  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-12-03
  • Pablo estimated 0% on 2020-01-24
  • Pablo said “Unclear if Sanders or Buttigieg is the winner, but we can rule out all the other candidates.on 2020-02-05
  • Pablo   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-02-05.