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[US Democratic primary: New York winner to be] Joe Biden

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-29; judged right by Cato on 2020-06-24.

  • Cato estimated 25% on 2019-09-18
  • pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-09-26
  • Cato estimated 30% on 2019-10-08
  • Cato estimated 17% on 2019-10-14
  • Cato estimated 25% on 2019-10-23
  • Cato estimated 23% on 2019-11-08
  • Cato estimated 17% on 2019-11-22
  • Cato estimated 21% on 2019-12-03
  • Cato estimated 45% on 2019-12-26
  • stepan estimated 50% on 2020-03-04
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2020-06-23
  • Cato   judged this prediction right on 2020-06-24.