Dominican Republican presidential election to return a winner in the first round

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-07-06; judged right by Cato on 2020-07-06.

Cato estimated 40% on 2019-09-18
pranomostro estimated 12% and said “Data from past elections, as far as I understand the data on Wikipedia: 2016: 1 round, 2012: 1 round, 2008: 1 round, 2004: 1 round, 2000: 1 round, 1998: 2 rounds, 1994: 1 round, 1990: 1 round” on 2019-10-03
Cato estimated 52% on 2019-12-06
Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-05-18” on 2020-05-06
Cato judged this prediction right on 2020-07-06.