[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4400

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-27; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-11-02.

• Cato estimated 55% on 2019-09-19
• Cato said “Verification: https://exoplanetarchive.ipac.caltech.edu” on 2019-09-19
• Cato estimated 54% on 2019-09-27
• Cato estimated 33% on 2019-09-27
• Cato estimated 33% on 2019-09-27
• pranomostro estimated 45% on 2019-10-03
• Cato estimated 32% on 2019-10-14
• Cato estimated 26% on 2019-11-20
• Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2020-01-04
• Cato estimated 66% on 2020-07-14
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-02.