[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] UK out of EU

Created by Cato on 2019-09-24; known on 2020-03-15; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-16.

• Cato estimated 24% on 2019-09-24
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-10-07
• Cato estimated 27% on 2019-10-09
• Bruno Parga estimated 10% on 2019-10-09
• Cato estimated 18% on 2019-10-22
• Cato estimated 44% on 2019-11-13
• Cato estimated 62% on 2019-12-02
• stepan estimated 10% on 2020-03-04
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-03-16.