[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] no-deal Brexit having taken place

Created by Cato on 2019-09-24; known on 2020-03-15

• Cato estimated 27% on 2019-09-24
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-10-07
• Cato estimated 32% on 2019-10-09
• Medea estimated 25% on 2019-10-12
• deoh estimated 50% on 2019-10-18
• Cato estimated 21% on 2019-10-22
• Cato estimated 28% on 2019-11-13
• Cato estimated 67% on 2019-12-02
• Cato said “Even though (a) Brexit has taken place and (b) there is no deal, the term “no-deal Brexit” referred to a cancellation of UK-EU customs union. As of today, UK is still participating in EU customs regulations and expects to continue until EOY.” on 2020-03-16
• Cato said “Therefore, I’m withdrawing this prediction.” on 2020-03-16
• Cato withdrew the prediction on 2020-03-16