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[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] Brexit-with-a-deal having taken place

Created by Cato on 2019-09-24; known on 2020-03-15

  • Cato estimated 13% on 2019-09-24
  • pranomostro estimated 18% on 2019-10-07
  • Cato estimated 14% on 2019-10-09
  • Cato estimated 12% on 2019-10-22
  • Cato estimated 16% on 2019-11-13
  • Cato estimated 59% on 2019-12-02
  • jbeshir estimated 4% on 2020-02-13
  • stepan estimated 2% on 2020-03-04
  • Cato said “We’re in a strange limbo: Yes Brexit, no deal, but no no-deal! Withdrawing.on 2020-03-16
  • Cato withdrew the prediction on 2020-03-16