[2020 Economics Nobel Prize] No winner to be American

Created by Cato on 2019-09-27; known on 2020-10-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-11-02.

• Cato estimated 35% on 2019-09-27
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-10-14
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-02.