[2020 Economics Nobel Prize] At least one winner to be Japanese

Created by Cato on 2019-09-27; known on 2020-10-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-11-02.

• Cato estimated 5% on 2019-09-27
• synkarius estimated 2% and said “https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/top-30-countries-with-nobel-prize-winners.html” on 2019-10-05
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-10-14
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-02.