There will be a shooting at a showing of Joker.

Created by JohnGreer 14 days ago; known in 17 days

  • JohnGreer estimated 25% 14 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 6% 13 days ago
  • pranomostro estimated 10% 13 days ago
  • notsonewuser estimated 10% 7 days ago
  • Michael Dickens estimated 10% and said “On the one hand, the base rate is really low. On the other hand, the media is promoting the idea that a shooting will happen, which is unprecedented AFAIK and could encourage people.4 days ago
  • EvanWard97 estimated 8% and said “This is based on existing forecasts and discounted for the time that has already passed without a shooting.2 days ago

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