[Relativo a las elecciones del 10N,] se formará gobierno y agotará legislatura
Created by sortega on 2019-11-12; known on 2020-05-12; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2023-08-04.
- sortega estimated 20% on 2019-11-12
- Pacres estimated 30% on 2019-11-12
- Pacres estimated 70% on 2019-11-12
- sortega estimated 25% on 2019-11-13
- Bruno Parga estimated 5% and said “La fecha de cierre está demasiado temprana, no? La legislatura debe ir hasta el 2023.” on 2020-01-04
- Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2020-01-07
- sortega estimated 20% on 2020-04-04
- sortega said “Creo que la fecha de cierre no se puede cambiar” on 2020-05-12
- Bruno Parga said “Cómo se juzga esta predición si ese gobierno disuelve las Cortes antes de su término?” on 2020-11-23
- Bruno Parga estimated 30% on 2021-01-01
- sortega estimated 25% on 2021-03-28
- sortega estimated 60% on 2021-10-12
- Bruno Parga estimated 70% on 2022-01-17
- sortega estimated 75% on 2022-04-05
- sortega estimated 80% on 2022-12-06
- sortega estimated 95% on 2023-04-07
- Bruno Parga said “Early elections were called, this resolves false” on 2023-05-29
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2023-08-04.