PLA to use force against protesters in Hong Kong before 2020-01-01

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-11-18; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.

  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 11% on 2019-11-18
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “(As distinct from Hong Kong police.)on 2019-11-18
  • Cato said “What if it’s mainland units but not PLA (e.g., People’s Armed Police)? Or what if the troops are PLA in their day jobs but they are deployed to HK in only a quasi-official capacity, (e.g., as Korean War-style “volunteers” or as HK units)?on 2019-11-19
  • pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-11-19
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-02.

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