[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Joe Biden to be] 11 to 20

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-05-18.

  • Cato estimated 86% on 2019-11-22
  • pranomostro estimated 35% on 2019-12-02
  • Cato estimated 87% on 2019-12-03
  • Cato estimated 34% on 2019-12-26
  • Cato estimated 34% on 2019-12-26
  • Bruno Parga estimated 9% on 2020-01-04
  • Cato estimated 15% on 2020-01-07
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-05-18.
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-02on 2020-05-28

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