[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 1 to 10
Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-08-31.
- Cato estimated 22% on 2019-11-22
- pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-12-02
- Cato estimated 80% on 2019-12-03
- Cato estimated 97% on 2019-12-26
- Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2020-01-04
- Cato estimated 98% on 2020-01-07
- Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-02” on 2020-05-28
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2020-08-31.