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[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 1 to 10

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-08-31.

  • Cato estimated 22% on 2019-11-22
  • pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-12-02
  • Cato estimated 80% on 2019-12-03
  • Cato estimated 97% on 2019-12-26
  • Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2020-01-04
  • Cato estimated 98% on 2020-01-07
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-02on 2020-05-28
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-08-31.