[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Elizabeth Warren to be] 11 to 20
Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-03.
- Cato estimated 77% on 2019-11-22
- pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-12-02
- Cato estimated 20% on 2019-12-03
- Cato estimated 2% on 2019-12-26
- Bruno Parga estimated 4% on 2020-01-04
- Cato estimated 0% on 2020-01-07
- Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-02” on 2020-05-28
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-03.