[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Bernie Sanders to be] 21 to 30
Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-03.
- Cato estimated 1% on 2019-11-22
- Cato on 2019-11-22
- pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-12-02
- Cato estimated 5% on 2019-12-26
- Bruno Parga estimated 26% on 2020-01-04
- Cato estimated 17% on 2020-01-07
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-03.