[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 0
Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-08-31.
- Cato estimated 28% on 2019-11-22
- pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-12-02
- Cato estimated 1% on 2019-12-03
- Cato estimated 0% on 2019-12-26
- Cato estimated 100% on 2019-12-26
- elephantower estimated 80% on 2019-12-31
- Bruno Parga estimated 99% and said “Nationally, Bloomberg is polling at 5.2% and Klobuchar at 3.2%. Could she pull off a surprise win in Minnesota on Super Tuesday (with early voting starting in mid-January)?” on 2020-01-04
- Cato estimated 67% on 2020-01-07
- peter_hurford estimated 95% on 2020-01-15
- peter_hurford estimated 86% and said “I forgot that Amy Klobuchar has a good chance of winning Minnesota if she is still in the race then. 538 puts this at 11%.” on 2020-01-18
- peter_hurford estimated 76% and said “Amy looks better in Minnesota now” on 2020-02-06
- Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-02” on 2020-05-28
- Bruno Parga said “F***, Bloomberg did win a contest… in the Virgin Islands, which do not count.” on 2020-08-31
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction right on 2020-08-31.