PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 0

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-08-31.

  • Cato estimated 28% on 2019-11-22
  • pranomostro estimated 30% on 2019-12-02
  • Cato estimated 1% on 2019-12-03
  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-12-26
  • Cato estimated 100% on 2019-12-26
  • elephantower estimated 80% on 2019-12-31
  • Bruno Parga estimated 99% and said “Nationally, Bloomberg is polling at 5.2% and Klobuchar at 3.2%. Could she pull off a surprise win in Minnesota on Super Tuesday (with early voting starting in mid-January)?on 2020-01-04
  • Cato estimated 67% on 2020-01-07
  • peter_hurford estimated 95% on 2020-01-15
  • peter_hurford estimated 86% and said “I forgot that Amy Klobuchar has a good chance of winning Minnesota if she is still in the race then. 538 puts this at 11%.on 2020-01-18
  • peter_hurford estimated 76% and said “Amy looks better in Minnesota nowon 2020-02-06
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-02on 2020-05-28
  • Bruno Parga said “F***, Bloomberg did win a contest… in the Virgin Islands, which do not count.on 2020-08-31
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2020-08-31.