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[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 11 to 20

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-03.

  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-11-22
  • Cato on 2019-11-22
  • pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-12-02
  • Cato estimated 1% on 2019-12-03
  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-12-26
  • Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-01-04
  • peter_hurford estimated 1% on 2020-01-15
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-03.