[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 41 to 51
- Cato estimated 0% on 2019-11-22
- pranomostro estimated 0% on 2019-12-02
- Bruno Parga estimated 0% and said “Cue yellow map of Jeb! winning every state (and territories, and Democrats Abroad)” on 2020-01-04
- Cato said “He can’t keep getting away with this!” on 2020-01-07
- peter_hurford estimated 0% on 2020-01-15
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2020-03-05.
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