[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 41 to 51

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known in 9 days; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-05.

  • Cato estimated 0% on 2019-11-22
  • pranomostro estimated 0% on 2019-12-02
  • Bruno Parga estimated 0% and said “Cue yellow map of Jeb! winning every state (and territories, and Democrats Abroad)on 2020-01-04
  • Cato said “He can’t keep getting away with this!on 2020-01-07
  • peter_hurford estimated 0% on 2020-01-15
  • Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-03-05.
  • Cato changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-02on 2020-05-28

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