Donald Trump will NOT be re-elected

Created by tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com on 2019-12-23; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by Laurent Bossavit on 2020-11-07.

  • tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com estimated 99% on 2019-12-23
  • tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com changed the deadline from “on 2020-11-04” and changed their prediction from “Donald Trump will NOT be ree-elected” on 2019-12-23
  • wizzwizz4 estimated 60% on 2019-12-26
  • pranomostro estimated 48% on 2019-12-28
  • Bruno Parga estimated 55% on 2019-12-28
  • elephantower estimated 60% and said “confusing wording…but yeah nobody’ll vote for the orange manon 2019-12-31
  • JoshuaZ estimated 54% on 2019-12-31
  • sty.silver estimated 50% on 2019-12-31
  • JTPeterson estimated 55% on 2019-12-31
  • holomanga estimated 50% on 2019-12-31
  • jazzsolo estimated 70% on 2020-01-01
  • Paul.David.Carr estimated 60% on 2020-01-01
  • batemancapital estimated 20% on 2020-01-01
  • brandyn estimated 35% on 2020-01-01
  • aarongertler estimated 65% on 2020-01-02
  • Baeboo estimated 50% on 2020-01-02
  • jasticE estimated 65% on 2020-01-02
  • AmadouKone estimated 66% on 2020-01-04
  • Medea estimated 65% on 2020-01-09
  • jazzsolo estimated 40% and said “Unfortunately, Joe Biden is a horrible choice against Trump.on 2020-03-13
  • Baeboo estimated 52% on 2020-03-21
  • Leo estimated 20% and said “Today I bet Trump would win: $500 against S’s $250, $200 against CL’s $100.on 2020-06-01
  • jasticE estimated 66% on 2020-07-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 65% on 2020-07-10
  • jamesrom said “Please use the search, there are at least 6 duplicates of this prediction. Secondly, it is a binary outcome. He is elected or not. You don’t need to predicate this with “NOT”on 2020-08-13
  • NickN estimated 20% and said “Dems are doing the same thing and expect a different outcome.on 2020-08-16
  • asdfgeoff estimated 80% on 2020-10-04
  • sty.silver estimated 85% and said “I’m continually baffled by market prices. It’s currently a nine point lead for Biden with low numbers of undecided voters.on 2020-10-07
  • Laurent Bossavit   judged this prediction right on 2020-11-07.

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