Donald Trump will NOT be re-elected

Created by tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com on 2019-12-23; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by Laurent Bossavit on 2020-11-07.

tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com estimated 99% on 2019-12-23
tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com changed the deadline from “on 2020-11-04” and changed their prediction from “Donald Trump will NOT be ree-elected” on 2019-12-23
wizzwizz4 estimated 60% on 2019-12-26
pranomostro estimated 48% on 2019-12-28
Bruno Parga estimated 55% on 2019-12-28
elephantower estimated 60% and said “confusing wording…but yeah nobody’ll vote for the orange man” on 2019-12-31
JoshuaZ estimated 54% on 2019-12-31
sty.silver estimated 50% on 2019-12-31
JTPeterson estimated 55% on 2019-12-31
holomanga estimated 50% on 2019-12-31
jazzsolo estimated 70% on 2020-01-01
Paul.David.Carr estimated 60% on 2020-01-01
batemancapital estimated 20% on 2020-01-01
brandyn estimated 35% on 2020-01-01
aarongertler estimated 65% on 2020-01-02
Baeboo estimated 50% on 2020-01-02
jasticE estimated 65% on 2020-01-02
AmadouKone estimated 66% on 2020-01-04
Medea estimated 65% on 2020-01-09
jazzsolo estimated 40% and said “Unfortunately, Joe Biden is a horrible choice against Trump.” on 2020-03-13
Baeboo estimated 52% on 2020-03-21
Leo estimated 20% and said “Today I bet Trump would win: $500 against S’s $250, $200 against CL’s $100.” on 2020-06-01
jasticE estimated 66% on 2020-07-10
PlacidPlatypus estimated 65% on 2020-07-10
jamesrom said “Please use the search, there are at least 6 duplicates of this prediction. Secondly, it is a binary outcome. He is elected or not. You don’t need to predicate this with “NOT”” on 2020-08-13
NickN estimated 20% and said “Dems are doing the same thing and expect a different outcome.” on 2020-08-16
asdfgeoff estimated 80% on 2020-10-04
sty.silver estimated 85% and said “I’m continually baffled by market prices. It’s currently a nine point lead for Biden with low numbers of undecided voters.” on 2020-10-07
Laurent Bossavit judged this prediction right on 2020-11-07.