[The Economist predicts:] Bitcoin price ends year below $7,500
Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.
- Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2020-01-02
- Bruno Parga said “The Economist gives this 65%.” on 2020-01-02
- pranomostro estimated 55% on 2020-01-11
- peter_hurford estimated 45% on 2020-01-15
- peter_hurford estimated 40% and said “I revised this down to 40% (from 45%) after reconsidering a bit more, but my reasoning is unchanged.” on 2020-01-15
- Baeboo estimated 60% on 2020-01-16
- two2thehead said “Bruno I recommend putting the known on date in the main body of the prediction text. It makes it easier to skim large numbers of them” on 2020-01-16
- PseudonymousUser estimated 38% on 2020-01-17
- Baeboo estimated 73% on 2020-03-21
- Baeboo estimated 40% on 2020-05-16
- Baeboo estimated 43% on 2020-05-27
- Baeboo estimated 36% on 2020-06-03
- Baeboo estimated 2% on 2020-11-20
- Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-12-13
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.
- Bruno Parga said “Oh shoot, I should have done what two2thehead suggested. oh well.” on 2021-01-01