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[The Economist predicts:] Bitcoin price ends year below $7,500

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2020-01-02
  • Bruno Parga said “The Economist gives this 65%.on 2020-01-02
  • pranomostro estimated 55% on 2020-01-11
  • peter_hurford estimated 45% on 2020-01-15
  • peter_hurford estimated 40% and said “I revised this down to 40% (from 45%) after reconsidering a bit more, but my reasoning is unchanged.on 2020-01-15
  • Baeboo estimated 60% on 2020-01-16
  • two2thehead said “Bruno I recommend putting the known on date in the main body of the prediction text. It makes it easier to skim large numbers of themon 2020-01-16
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 38% on 2020-01-17
  • Baeboo estimated 73% on 2020-03-21
  • Baeboo estimated 40% on 2020-05-16
  • Baeboo estimated 43% on 2020-05-27
  • Baeboo estimated 36% on 2020-06-03
  • Baeboo estimated 2% on 2020-11-20
  • Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-12-13
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.
  • Bruno Parga said “Oh shoot, I should have done what two2thehead suggested. oh well.on 2021-01-01