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[The Economist predicts:] Christian Coleman wins men's 100 metres at the Olympics

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-08-17.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 49% on 2020-01-02
  • Bruno Parga said “I had never heard of this person and just copied the Economist’s prediction.on 2020-01-02
  • pranomostro estimated 40% and said “I’ve never heard of this person either, which reduces my confidence that this will happen.on 2020-01-11
  • Bruno Parga said “The website bugs when I try to edit it; this prediction end date is moved to 2022-01-01.on 2020-09-13
  • Bruno Parga said “He missed a drug test, was suspended and did not compete.on 2021-08-17
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-08-17.