[The Economist predicts:] China wins the most gold medals at the Olympics

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-08-17.

• Bruno Parga estimated 9% on 2020-01-02
• Bruno Parga said “I copied this from the Economist.” on 2020-01-02
• pranomostro estimated 15% and said “This has happened once before: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Summer_Olympic_Games#Most_successful_nations in 2008: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Summer_Olympics_medal_table” on 2020-01-11
• pranomostro said “Some more info here: https://demos.telerik.com/aspnet-ajax/sample-applications/olympic-games/” on 2020-01-11
• Bruno Parga said “@pranomostro China hosted the Olympics that year; that usually comes with an advantage.” on 2020-09-13
• Bruno Parga said “The website bugs when I try to edit this, but this prediction end date is moved to 2022-01-01.” on 2020-09-13
• Bruno Parga said “39 to China’s 38.” on 2021-08-17
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-08-17.