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[The Economist predicts:] House prices fall across rich English-speaking countries

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-12-31.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 28% on 2020-01-02
  • Bruno Parga said “I copied the probability from the Economist. I think this is under-specified. I’d defer to a more precise prediction they make (I don’t have paywall access), but I think the best way to measure this ison 2020-01-02
  • Bruno Parga said “some average of house price indices of the US, UK, Canada, Australia, Ireland and New Zealand. I’m not clear whether one should weight by population or GDP or what.on 2020-01-02
  • pranomostro estimated 40% on 2020-01-11
  • Bruno Parga said “ 2021-12-31
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-12-31.