[The Economist predicts:] S&P 500 stock index ends year at least 10% down

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• Bruno Parga estimated 11% on 2020-01-02
• Bruno Parga said “I copied this from the Economist.” on 2020-01-02
• benmanns estimated 17% and said “SPX put 2925” on 2020-01-03
• pranomostro estimated 12% on 2020-01-11
• benmanns estimated 36% and said “SPX puts” on 2020-02-26
• benmanns estimated 63% and said “SPX puts” on 2020-03-13
• Bruno Parga said “+16.26%” on 2021-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.