Elon Musk has sent a crewed mission to Mars

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-01-01

  • Bruno Parga estimated 4% on 2020-01-03
  • Bruno Parga said “Inspired by https://cutt.ly/LrueYJX.on 2020-01-03
  • Bruno Parga said “If anything happens to Musk and/or SpaceX, this remains true if technology like Falcon and Starship is crucial to the mission.on 2020-01-03
  • Bruno Parga said “Or if it is a direct ancestor tech to whatever ship eventually lands on Mars. // Also, this counts only if humans arrive at Mars alive and set foot before the end date.on 2020-01-03
  • qznc estimated 5% on 2020-01-03
  • optimaton estimated 2% on 2020-01-04
  • sty.silver estimated 10% on 2020-01-08
  • Medea estimated 5% on 2020-01-09
  • sortega estimated 2% on 2020-01-11
  • pranomostro estimated 25% on 2020-01-11

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