[States (+DC) adopting the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact] have >= 229 electoral votes
Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-04; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-12-31.
- Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2020-01-04
- Bruno Parga said “229 is the number of electoral votes of states not having signed and having no bills in the current legislature to adopt it.” on 2020-01-04
- pranomostro estimated 5% on 2020-01-17
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-31.