Tesla has at least one truly autonomous (no human safety driver) taxi (where a member of the public chooses the destination and pays) on a regular street (where unrestricted human-driven cars are driven on the same street) by the end of 2020

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-01-15; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-12-31.

• peter_hurford estimated 5% on 2020-01-15
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2020-01-17
• Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-01-26
• NickN estimated 0% on 2020-08-30
• Bruno Parga said “The tech is there or very close. Regulatory approval is a whole ’nother story. https://www.inverse.com/innovation/hail-tesla-robo-taxi” on 2020-12-31
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-31.