Meta-prediction: I win my predictions bet with David Manheim

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-01-17; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by peter_hurford on 2021-01-05.

  • peter_hurford estimated 20% on 2020-01-17
  • pranomostro estimated 30% and said “Very small sample size, much randomness.on 2020-01-17
  • peter_hurford   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-05.

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