Meta-prediction: I win my predictions bet with David Manheim

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-01-17; known 25 days ago; judged wrong by peter_hurford 20 days ago.

  • peter_hurford estimated 20% on 2020-01-17
  • pranomostro estimated 30% and said “Very small sample size, much randomness.on 2020-01-17
  • peter_hurford   judged this prediction wrong 20 days ago.

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