[By the end of 2020, the confirmed death toll by the Wuhan Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be over] 5 million

Created by nortriptyline2 on 2020-01-22; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• nortriptyline2 estimated 15% on 2020-01-22
• nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2020-12-31” on 2020-01-23
• nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2020-12-31” on 2020-01-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
• Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
• peter_hurford estimated 0% and said “2003 SARS killed 800 people. This strain is better contained and less virulent. Hard to imagine this reaching >5M.” on 2020-01-23
• nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2021-01-01” on 2020-01-23
• nortriptyline2 estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
• pranomostro estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
• Bruno Parga estimated 8% on 2020-01-27
• Bruno Parga said “Updating based on https://cutt.ly/9rRIWJe” on 2020-01-27
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-01-27
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-01-27
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-02-04
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-02-05
• Bruno Parga estimated 3% on 2020-02-07
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-02-09
• Medea estimated 0% on 2020-02-13
• avi estimated 0% on 2020-02-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 50% on 2020-03-03
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-03-05
• Bruno Parga estimated 12% on 2020-03-19
• Baeboo estimated 26% on 2020-03-21
• Baeboo estimated 9% on 2020-03-26
• Baeboo estimated 31% on 2020-04-03
• Bruno Parga estimated 20% on 2020-04-05
• Baeboo estimated 36% on 2020-04-07
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2020-04-13
• nortriptyline2 estimated 35% on 2020-04-14
• Baeboo estimated 32% on 2020-04-19
• Baeboo estimated 34% on 2020-04-25
• Baeboo estimated 33% on 2020-05-06
• Baeboo estimated 27% on 2020-05-11
• Baeboo estimated 5% on 2020-05-27
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-06-03
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-06-12
• Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2020-09-11
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-12-13
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.