[By the end of 2020, the confirmed death toll by the Wuhan Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be over] 10 million
Created by nortriptyline2 on 2020-01-22; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.
- nortriptyline2 estimated 1% on 2020-01-22
- nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2020-12-31” on 2020-01-23
- nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2020-12-31” on 2020-01-23
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
- Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
- peter_hurford estimated 0% and said “2003 SARS killed 800 people. This strain is better contained and less virulent. Hard to imagine this reaching >10M.” on 2020-01-23
- nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2021-01-01” on 2020-01-23
- pranomostro estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
- Bruno Parga estimated 6% and said “Updating based on https://cutt.ly/9rRIWJe” on 2020-01-27
- Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-01-27
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-01-27
- krazemon estimated 2% on 2020-01-30
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-02-04
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-02-05
- Bruno Parga estimated 2% on 2020-02-07
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-02-09
- Medea estimated 0% on 2020-02-13
- avi estimated 0% on 2020-02-22
- stepan estimated 0% on 2020-02-24
- PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2020-03-03
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-03-05
- sty.silver estimated 60% on 2020-03-13
- Bruno Parga estimated 6% on 2020-03-19
- Baeboo estimated 6% on 2020-03-21
- Baeboo estimated 4% on 2020-03-26
- Baeboo estimated 18% on 2020-04-03
- Bruno Parga estimated 10% on 2020-04-05
- Baeboo estimated 25% on 2020-04-07
- Baeboo estimated 19% on 2020-04-13
- Baeboo estimated 21% on 2020-04-19
- Baeboo estimated 22% on 2020-04-25
- Baeboo estimated 22% on 2020-05-06
- qznc estimated 10% on 2020-05-08
- Baeboo estimated 17% on 2020-05-11
- Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-05-27
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-06-03
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-06-12
- NickN estimated 10% on 2020-08-16
- Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-09-11
- sty.silver judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-31.