[By the end of 2020, the confirmed death toll by the Wuhan Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be over] 100 million

Created by nortriptyline2 on 2020-01-22; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.

• nortriptyline2 estimated 0% on 2020-01-22
• nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2020-12-31” on 2020-01-23
• nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2020-12-31” on 2020-01-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
• Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-01-23
• peter_hurford estimated 0% and said “2003 SARS killed 800 people. This strain is better contained and less virulent. Hard to imagine this reaching >100M.” on 2020-01-23
• nortriptyline2 changed the deadline from “on 2021-01-01” on 2020-01-23
• pranomostro estimated 0% and said “Consider baserates.” on 2020-01-23
• Bruno Parga said “Based on https://cutt.ly/9rRIWJe, an update towards maybe something like half a percent seems reasonable?” on 2020-01-27
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-01-27
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-02-04
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-02-05
• Medea estimated 0% on 2020-02-13
• avi estimated 0% on 2020-02-22
• stepan estimated 0% on 2020-02-24
• sty.silver estimated 1% on 2020-02-26
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-02-27
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2020-03-03
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-03-05
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-03-21
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-03-26
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-04-03
• credunkist estimated 0% on 2020-04-03
• Baeboo estimated 4% on 2020-04-07
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-04-13
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-04-19
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-04-25
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-05-06
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2020-05-11
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-05-27
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-06-03
• NickN estimated 0% on 2020-08-16
• Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-09-11
• sty.silver   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-31.