Health, UK – News reports of a confirmed case of 2019-nCoV in UK by deadline.

Created by jbeshir on 2020-01-23; known on 2020-02-28; judged right by peter_hurford on 2020-01-31.

• jbeshir estimated 60% on 2020-01-23
• pranomostro estimated 48% on 2020-01-24
• jbeshir estimated 70% on 2020-01-24
• Bruno Parga estimated 70% on 2020-01-24
• pranomostro estimated 57% on 2020-01-25
• Baeboo estimated 70% on 2020-01-25
• peter_hurford estimated 75% on 2020-01-26
• Bruno Parga estimated 90% and said “Updating based on https://cutt.ly/9rRIWJe” on 2020-01-27
• Baeboo estimated 80% on 2020-01-27
• Baeboo estimated 84% on 2020-01-27
• Baeboo estimated 98% on 2020-01-28
• nortriptyline2 estimated 70% on 2020-01-28
• Baeboo estimated 99% on 2020-01-30
• peter_hurford said “This resolves correct https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-01-31-20-intl-hnk/index.html” on 2020-01-31
• peter_hurford   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-31.