US to withdraw from Five Eyes, conditional on UK decision to incorporate Huawei technologies into their 5G telecom infrastructure

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2020-02-18; known on 2025-01-01

• PseudonymousUser estimated 85% on 2020-02-18
• PseudonymousUser said “Withdrawal may occur any time prior to the date specified in the deadline. Prediction will be marked as false if the UK does indeed incorporate Huawei components as of the deadline, but the US does not withdraw.” on 2020-02-18
• PseudonymousUser said “Note that this prediction itself will be withdrawn at the date of the deadline if the UK has not incorporated Huawei components into their 5G network.” on 2020-02-18
• PseudonymousUser said “In no event will this prediction be withdrawn prior to the deadline, even if there are announcements by the UK in the near-term, purporting to agree to the US request to exclude such components. Such near-term announcements are not dispositive. ” on 2020-02-18
• pranomostro estimated 40% on 2020-02-20
• Andrew MacFie estimated 20% on 2020-02-26