A nuclear fusion reactor will hit an economic breakeven before January 1st 2057, conditional on no existential catastrophes or wins.

Created by Mati on 2020-02-23; known on 2057-01-01

  • Mati estimated 50% on 2020-02-23
  • pranomostro estimated 45% on 2020-03-05
  • ejlflop estimated 60% on 2020-06-16
  • JoshuaZ said “This seems tough to measure. Does economic breakeven include government subsides?on 2020-06-17

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