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[The day in 2020 with the most new coronavirus COVID-19 deaths will be in] December

Created by WilliamKiely on 2020-02-24; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by WilliamKiely on 2021-01-01.

  • WilliamKiely estimated 5% on 2020-02-24
  • pranomostro estimated 5% on 2020-03-06
  • WilliamKiely estimated 5% on 2020-03-10
  • sabs81 estimated 1% on 2020-03-12
  • WilliamKiely   judged this prediction right on 2021-01-01.
  • WilliamKiely said “My view of course updated on this question, though I don’t think I ever consciously forecasted on this question past ~April. (I might have in ~April on Metaculus).on 2021-01-01