10000+ cases of coronavirus confirmed by CDC in USA by June 1, 2020

Created by suitecake on 2020-02-26; known in 7 days; judged right by suitecake on 2020-03-21.

  • suitecake estimated 65% on 2020-02-26
  • pranomostro estimated 95% on 2020-03-06
  • batemancapital estimated 60% on 2020-03-08
  • suitecake estimated 95% on 2020-03-10
  • suitecake estimated 80% and said “Looks like CDC is not aggregating data from the state-level (only 114 cases properly ‘confirmed,’ whereas Johns Hopkins puts the figure at 804). If they don’t aggregate at all, and defer testing to states, they might severely underreport caseson 2020-03-10
  • sabs81 estimated 25% on 2020-03-12
  • suitecake   judged this prediction right on 2020-03-21.

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