10000+ cases of coronavirus confirmed by CDC in USA by June 1, 2020

Created by suitecake on 2020-02-26; known on 2020-06-01; judged right by suitecake 8 days ago.

  • suitecake estimated 65% on 2020-02-26
  • pranomostro estimated 95% 23 days ago
  • batemancapital estimated 60% 21 days ago
  • suitecake estimated 95% 19 days ago
  • suitecake estimated 80% and said “Looks like CDC is not aggregating data from the state-level (only 114 cases properly ‘confirmed,’ whereas Johns Hopkins puts the figure at 804). If they don’t aggregate at all, and defer testing to states, they might severely underreport cases19 days ago
  • sabs81 estimated 25% 17 days ago
  • suitecake   judged this prediction right 8 days ago.

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