Health – Before the end of 2024 at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated from a laboratory.

Created by jbeshir on 2020-02-28; known on 2025-01-01

• jbeshir estimated 1% on 2020-02-28
• jbeshir said “Resolution criteria per https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3682/before-the-end-of-2024-will-at-least-two-public-health-agencies-claim-that-covid-19-more-likely-than-not-originated-from-a-laboratory/” on 2020-02-28
• pranomostro estimated 19% on 2020-03-06
• Baeboo estimated 4% on 2020-03-07
• jazzsolo estimated 0% on 2020-03-13
• Baeboo estimated 15% on 2020-04-19