[For coronavirus 2019] most danger will be gone by June 15th, 2020.
Created by lazarus on 2020-03-05; known on 2020-06-16; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-06-23.
- lazarus estimated 80% on 2020-03-05
- lazarus on 2020-03-05
- pranomostro estimated 50% and said “Unclear resolution criteria.” on 2020-03-06
- lazarus changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-16” and changed their prediction from “most danger will be gone by June 15th, 2020 latest.” on 2020-03-12
- PseudonymousUser estimated 25% on 2020-06-23
- PseudonymousUser said “I hear ambulances, therefore your prediction is false. ” on 2020-06-23
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-23.