[For coronavirus 2019] Mortality rate of total pop in America will be under .01% by 2021.

Created by lazarus on 2020-03-05; known on 2020-06-16; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-06-23.

• lazarus estimated 90% on 2020-03-05
• pranomostro estimated 15% and said “I don’t see any reason at all why the death rate should be lower for americans than for chinese, or why the detection of incidents should be higher in the US (rather the opposite, considering what the FDA has been doing).” on 2020-03-06
• pranomostro estimated 7% on 2020-03-06
• lazarus changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-16” on 2020-03-12
• lazarus changed the deadline from “on 2020-06-16” on 2020-03-12
• lazarus estimated 90% on 2020-03-12
• jazzsolo estimated 0% on 2020-03-13
• qznc said ““America” is vague. North and South America? US only?” on 2020-03-14
• suitecake estimated 2% and said “As phrased, unclear. For the purposes of my prediction, I’m using an exclusive reading of ‘by 2021’ (so, mortality rate under 0.01% before Jan 1, 2021), and interpreting America to mean USA” on 2020-03-15
• Stucwerk estimated 20% on 2020-03-16
• PseudonymousUser said “As of the deadline, this isn’t true. ” on 2020-06-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 25% on 2020-06-23
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-23.