[For coronavirus 2019] Mortality rate of total pop in America will be under .01% by 2021.

Created by lazarus on 2020-03-05; known 25 days ago; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum 19 days ago.

  • lazarus estimated 90% on 2020-03-05
  • lazarus on 2020-03-05
  • pranomostro estimated 15% and said “I don’t see any reason at all why the death rate should be lower for americans than for chinese, or why the detection of incidents should be higher in the US (rather the opposite, considering what the FDA has been doing).on 2020-03-06
  • pranomostro estimated 7% on 2020-03-06
  • lazarus changed the deadline from “25 days agoon 2020-03-12
  • lazarus estimated 90% on 2020-03-12
  • jazzsolo estimated 0% on 2020-03-13
  • qznc said ““America” is vague. North and South America? US only?on 2020-03-14
  • suitecake estimated 2% and said “As phrased, unclear. For the purposes of my prediction, I’m using an exclusive reading of ‘by 2021’ (so, mortality rate under 0.01% before Jan 1, 2021), and interpreting America to mean USAon 2020-03-15
  • Stucwerk estimated 20% on 2020-03-16
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “As of the deadline, this isn’t true. 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 25% 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum   judged this prediction wrong 19 days ago.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction