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Total COVID-19 deaths in China will be less than 4000 by August.

Created by qznc on 2020-03-14; known on 2020-08-01; judged wrong by qznc on 2020-08-01.

  • qznc estimated 70% on 2020-03-14
  • pranomostro estimated 25% and said “I assume you mean total in August? Seems unlikely to me, cases flowing back from other countries are pretty much unavoidable at this point.” on 2020-03-16
  • qznc   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-08-01.