World – Will one or more cases of COVID-19 be described as plausible or likely to have occurred in North Korea in the BBC by end of month March.

Created by jbeshir on 2020-03-14; known on 2020-04-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2020-04-01.

• jbeshir estimated 20% on 2020-03-14
• pranomostro estimated 3% on 2020-03-18
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2020-03-18
• Baeboo estimated 50% on 2020-03-18
• jbeshir estimated 10% on 2020-03-21
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-04-01.

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