World – Will one or more cases of COVID-19 be described as plausible or likely to have occurred in North Korea in the BBC by end of month March.
Created by jbeshir on 2020-03-14; known on 2020-04-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2020-04-01.
- jbeshir estimated 20% on 2020-03-14
- pranomostro estimated 3% on 2020-03-18
- pranomostro estimated 30% on 2020-03-18
- Baeboo estimated 50% on 2020-03-18
- jbeshir estimated 10% on 2020-03-21
- jbeshir judged this prediction wrong on 2020-04-01.