More than 300,000 people will die from corona in the US

Created by daveisright on 2020-03-14; known on 2020-10-30; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-10.

• daveisright estimated 75% on 2020-03-14
• Stucwerk estimated 80% on 2020-03-16
• pranomostro estimated 80% on 2020-03-16
• sty.silver estimated 72% on 2020-03-17
• khmeck@gmail.com estimated 85% and said “This is a prediction for calendar year 2020. We’ll know an approximate # by the end of December 2020.” on 2020-03-18
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 30% on 2020-10-29
• PlacidPlatypus said “Is this prediction specifically about the fixed duration, or should it be extended?” on 2020-10-29
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 60% on 2020-11-07
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 80% and said “Useful inputs: 55 days left in 2020, 7-day moving average of daily deaths stands at 946, current total is 242K according to Worldometers. Might end up shy of 300K but I expect counts to rise.” on 2020-11-07
• Deepak estimated 70% on 2020-11-07
• Bruno Parga said “daveisright chose this prediction to end in October. At that point the death toll was fortunately under that number, although it might go over it by year end.” on 2020-11-10
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-10.